Overview
The Southern Ocean plays a critical role in the Earth system. It hosts emblematic components of global biodiversity that motivate international conservation efforts. It is also the flywheel of the ocean circulation and climate system, where it plays a critical role in the carbon sequestration and supplies nutrients to lower latitudes where they support global productivity. These key ecosystem services are supported by the activity of photosynthetic phytoplankton and zooplankton that underpin food-webs and biogeochemical cycling.
We need accurate climate model projections to assess the response of Southern Ocean ecosystems and biogeochemical cycles to climate change. But our best models cannot even correctly reproduce the direction of ongoing change.
This suggests fundamental problems with projections, undermining efforts to protect and conserve ecosystems and lowering confidence in our understanding of how carbon and nutrient cycling will respond, both in the future and in the geological past.
Iron-Man will develop a new paradigm that integrates the processes regulating Southern Ocean productivity by addressing critical knowledge gaps. This is urgent given the rapid ongoing changes to the region and the timescales of policy action that require robust science.