Dr Rana Moyeed

Dr Rana Moyeed

Associate Professor (Senior Lecturer) in Operational Research

School of Computing, Electronics and Mathematics (Faculty of Science and Engineering)


I am the Statistical Lead of the International Centre for Statistical Education (ICSE). Based at Plymouth University in the School of Computing and Mathematics, the ICSE aims to enhance statistical education in schools, colleges, universities and the workplace.

I am also the lead for the Statistics Subject Group. 


I have been at the University of Plymouth since October 1996. Before joining Plymouth , I held posts at various institutions including Lancaster University (1991-96), the University of Bath (1990-91) and the Centre for Mathematics and Computer Science (CWI) in Amsterdam (1988-90).

I obtained my BSc (Hons) and MSc degrees in Statistics from the University of Dhaka in Bangladesh. I was awarded a Commonwealth Scholarship in 1983 to study for a PhD at the University of Bath in the UK. I received my degree in 1986 for a thesis entitled “A Study of Smoothing Spline Regression”.

Professional membership

I am a fellow of the Royal Statistical Society.

Teaching interests

Bayesian Methods

Mathematical Reasoning

Statistical Modelling and Inference

Research interests

Bayesian modelling,  Smoothing methods, Spatial statistics and Statistical learning

Recent PhD students (for whom I was the Director of Studies):

1. Golnaz Shahtahmassebi: Financial Statistics (completed in November 2011)

2. Alan Wright: Statistical Genetics (completed in January 2013)

Research group membership:

Mathematical Sciences

Other research

We have strong research and consultancy links with Intelligent Optimisations (IO). The work involves the use of Bayesian networks and machine learning. 


Oommen, D., Dodd, N., Yiannakis, D., Moyeed, R. and Jha, A. (2016) Linking genotoxicity and cytotoxicity with membrane fluidity: a comparative study in ovarian cancer cell lines following exposure to auranofin. Mutation Research - Genetic Toxicology and Environmental Mutagenesis. 809, 43-49. 

Shahtahmassebi, G. & Moyeed, R.  (2016)  An application of the generalized Poisson difference distribution to the Bayesian modelling of football scores, Statistica Neerlandica, 70 (3), 260-273, DOI: 10.1111/stan.12087.

Shahtahmassebi, G. & Moyeed, R.  (2014)  Bayesian modelling of integer data using the generalised Poisson difference distribution,   International Journal of Statistics and Probability, (1), 35-48.

Shahtahmassebi, G. & Moyeed, R.  (2014)  Bayesian modelling of ultra-high frequency financial data,   International Journal of Statistics and Economics, 15 (3), 51-63.

Ricketts, C. and Moyeed, R.A. (2011) Improving progress test score estimation using Bayesian statistics, Medical Education, 45, 570-577.

Stander, J. and Moyeed, R. (2011) Contribution to the Discussion on the paper by Wild, C. J., Pfannkuch, M., Regan, M. and Horton, N. J. Towards more accessible conceptions of statistical inference.  Journal  of the Royal Statistical Society A, 174, 247-295, our contribution 274-275.

Thompson, P., Cai, Y., Moyeed, R.A., Reeve, D. and Stander, J. (2010) Bayesian nonparametric quantile regression, Computational  Statistics & Data Analysis, 54, 1138-1150.

Hay, SI., Guerra, CA., Gething, PW., Patil, AP., Tatem, AJ., Noor, AM., Kabaria, CW., Manh, BH., Elyazar, IR., Brooker, S., Smith, DL., Moyeed, RA. & Snow, RW.  (2009)  A world malaria map: Plasmodium falciparum endemicity in 2007,  PLoS Med6 (3), p e1000048, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1000048.

Clements, A. C. A., Moyeed, R. A., Brooker, S. (2006). Bayesian geostatistical prediction of the intensity of infection with Schistosoma mansoni in East Africa, Parasitology, 133, 711-719. 

Brooker, S., Alexander, N., Geiger, S., Moyeed, R. A., Stander, J., Fleming, F., Hotez, P. J., Correa-Oliveira, R., Bethony, J. (2006). Contrasting patterns in the small-scale heterogeneity of human helminth infections in urban and rural environments in Brazil, International Journal of Parasitology, 36, 1143-1151.

Alexander, N., Lenhart, A., Villegas, E., Levy, M., Moyeed, R., Kroeger, A. & Mccall, PJ.  (2006)  Spatial analysis of spill-over effects of insecticide-treated materials in a cluster-randomized trial against Aedes aegypti mosquitoes in Trujillo, Venezeula,  American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 75  (5), 177-177.  

Kent, M., Moyeed, R. A., Reid, C. L., Pakeman, R., Weaver, R. (2006).   Geostatistics, Spatial Rate of Change Analysis and Boundary Detection in Plant Ecology and Biogeography, Progress in Physical Geography, 30, 201-231.  

Jones, M. D., Leng, M. J., Roberts, C. N., Turkes, M., Moyeed, R. A. (2005).   A coupled calibration and modelling approach to the understanding of dry-land lake oxygen isotope records, Journal of Paleolimnology , 34 , 391-411 .  

Moyeed, R. A.
and Clarke, R.T. (2005).   The use of Bayesian methods for fitting rating curves, with case studies, Advances in Water Resources , 28 (8), 807-818 .  

Alexander, N. D., Moyeed, R. A., Hyun, P.J., Dimber, Z. B., Bockarie, M. J., Stander, J., Grenfell, B.T., Kazura, J. W. and Alpers, M. P. (2003).   Spatial variation of Anopheles-transmitted Wuchereria bancrofti and Plasmodium falciparum infection densities in Papua New Guinea, Filaria Journal , 2: 14 .  

Diggle, P. J., Moyeed, R. A., Rowlingson, B. S., Thomson, M. C. (2002).   Childhood malaria in the Gambia: a case study in model-based geostatistics, Applied Statistics , 51, 493-506 .   

Graham, D. I., Moyeed, R. A. (2002).  How many particles for my Lagrangian simulations? Powder Technology, 125, 179-186.  

Moyeed, R. A.
, Papritz, A. (2002).  An empirical comparison of kriging methods for non-linear spatial point prediction, Mat hematical Geology , 34, 365-386.   

O'Sullivan, P. E., Moyeed, R. A., Cooper, M. C., Nicholson, M. J. (2002).   Comparison between instrumental, observational and high resolution proxy sedimentary records of Late Holocene climatic change - a discussion of possibilities, Quaternary International, 88, 27-44.  

Zhao, H., Moyeed, R. A., Stenhouse, E. A., Demaine, A. G. Millward, B. A. (2002).   Space-time clustering of childhood type 1 diabetes in Devon and Cornwall, England, Diabetic Medicine, 19, 667-672.  

Papritz, A., Moyeed, R. A. (2001).  Parameter uncertainty in spatial prediction: checking its importance by cross-validating the Wolfcamp and Rongelap data sets, GeoENV III - Geostatistics for Environmental Applications, pp. 369-380, Kluwer, Dortrecht.   

Yu, K., Moyeed, R. A. (2001).  Bayesian quantile regression, Statistics and Probability Letters , 54, 437-447 .  

Alexander, N., Moyeed, R. A., Stander, J. (2000).  Spatial modelling of individual-level parasite counts using the negative binomial distribution, Biostatistics, 2000, 1, 453-463.  

Papritz, A., Moyeed, R. A. (1999).  Linear and non-linear kriging methods: tools for monitoring soil pollution.  In: V. Barnett, A. Stein, K. Feridun Turkman (Eds.) Statistics for the Environment 4: Statistical Aspects of Health and the Environment, pp. 303-336, Wiley, Chichester.  

Diggle, P. J., Moyeed, R. A., Tawn, J. A. (1998).  Model-based geostatistics (with discussion), Applied Statistics , 47, 299-350 .

Martinez, V. J., Pons-Borderia, M., Moyeed, R. A., Graham, M. J. (1998).   Searching for the scale of homogeneity, Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society , 298, 1212-1222 .

Belcher, J., Moyeed, R. A., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G. (1996). Tests for menstrual synchrony and association with a mood indicator. Technical Report.

Moyeed, R. A.
(1995).  Spline smoother as a dynamic linear model, Australian Journal of Statistics, 37, 193-204.  

Moyeed, R. A.
, Diggle, P. J. (1994).  Rates of convergence in semi-parametric modelling of longitudinal data, Australian Journal of Statistics, 36, 75-93.  

Moyeed, R. A.
, Tawn, J. A., Diggle, P. J. (1994). A spatial extreme value model for rainfall.  Technical Report.

Baddeley, A. J., Moyeed, R. A., Howard, C. V., Boyde, A. (1993).  Analysis of a three-dimensional point pattern with replication, J. R. Statist. Soc. C, 42, 641-668.  

Leurgans, S. E., Moyeed, R. A., Silverman, B. W. (1993).  Canonical correlation when the data are curves, J. R. Statist. Soc. B, 55, 725-740. 

Silverman, B. W., Moyeed, R. A. (1992). Contribution to the Discussion on the paper by Hall and Johnstone. Information in the data about the roughness of a curve. J. R. Statist. Soc. B, 54, 512-513.

Moyeed, R. A.
, Baddeley, A. J. (1991). Stochastic approximation of the MLE for a spatial point pattern. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 18, 39-50.   

Robinson, A., Moyeed, R. A.  (1989). Making Robust the Cross-Validatory Choice of Smoothing Parameter in Spline Smoothing Regression. Communications in Statistics, Theory and Methods, 18, 523-539.